Probability/statistics
In a city with one hundred taxis, 1 is blue and 99 are green. A witness observes a hitandrun by a taxi at night and recalls that the taxi was blue, so the police arrest the blue taxi driver who was on duty that night. The driver proclaims his innocence and hires you to defend him in court. You hire a scientist to test the witness’ ability to distinguish blue and green taxis under conditions similar to the night of accident. The data suggests that the witness sees blue cars as blue 99% of the time and green cars as blue 2% of the time. Write a speech for the jury to give them reasonable doubt about your client’s guilt. Your speech should not be longer than a page. Keep in mind that most jurors have not taken a probability course, so maybe you can use an illustration instead of just formula.
Answer
 The questioner was satisfied with and accepted the answer, or
 The answer was evaluated as being 100% correct by the judge.
 answered
 635 views
 $15.00
Related Questions
 What are the odds of drawing the two tarot cards that I wanted, then reshuffling the pack, and drawing them both again straight away, in the same order?
 Bayesian statistics
 Operational research : queueing theory
 Probability of choosing the bakery with the best bread
 Find the maximum likelihood estimate
 Probability of having a disease given a series of test results
 What would be the probability of "breaking the bank" in this 1985 Blackjack game? (Details in body)

Poker Outcomes and Variance: Calculating Likelihood of an Observed Outcome